Data report · updates automatically every week

Weekend gap report

Weekend markets keep pricing stocks while the exchange sleeps. This report checks the claim that matters: did the weekend price point the same way as Monday's official opening gap?

Weekend measured: from the official close on Friday, Oct 16 at 4:00 PM ET to the 2026-10-19 open.

96%direction hit rate (23 of 24 markets)
2.35%average absolute weekend move
LITE +5.87%largest opening gap
MarketFriday closeWeekend signalMonday openActual gapDirection
LITE824.13+5.80%872.50+5.87%✓ hit
INTC89.85+5.26%94.53+5.21%✓ hit
SKHY136.49+4.90%143.25+4.95%✓ hit
SNDK1,299.30+4.67%1,359.00+4.59%✓ hit
AMD528.75+4.43%551.78+4.36%✓ hit
MU878.84+3.99%913.55+3.95%✓ hit
AVGO328.75+3.09%338.75+3.04%✓ hit
CRCL82.22+3.03%84.72+3.04%✓ hit
RKLB50.84+2.92%52.28+2.83%✓ hit
TSM412.61+2.36%421.66+2.19%✓ hit
SPCX146.03+2.26%149.23+2.19%✓ hit
AMZN250.00+2.20%255.25+2.10%✓ hit
NVDA214.13+1.90%218.10+1.85%✓ hit
MSTR136.83+1.76%139.13+1.68%✓ hit
COIN173.16+1.47%175.58+1.40%✓ hit
HOOD98.87+1.45%100.33+1.48%✓ hit
NDX29,187.55+1.37%29,539.31+1.21%✓ hit
GOOGL340.59+0.92%343.67+0.90%✓ hit
TSLA354.72+0.82%357.50+0.78%✓ hit
AAPL343.46-0.76%340.78-0.78%✓ hit
SPX7,659.44+0.47%7,702.77+0.57%✓ hit
PLTR186.03+0.44%187.00+0.52%✓ hit
META709.33-0.18%707.16-0.31%✓ hit
MSFT529.05+0.01%528.70-0.07%✗ miss

Method

Weekend signal is the last 24/7 contract mark before the official open, versus the official Friday closing price. Actual gap is the official opening price versus the same Friday close. A hit means both moved the same direction. Official prices are exchange data via Financial Modeling Prep; contract marks are the same Hyperliquid data shown across this site. One weekend proves nothing — the interesting number is the hit rate over months, and this page keeps score automatically.

Reuse this data with a link to this page. Live prices for every market are on the markets board.